Technical analysis of EUR/USD for 04/03/2020:

Technical Market Overview:

The EUR/USD pair has made a new high at the level of 1.1213, but it is clear the bears are trying to regain control of the market around this level. The market conditions are now overbought despite the positive and strong momentum, so the downtrend might start to be continued any time soon. Euro has done the Pin Bar candlestick already, so the next target for bears might be seen around the level of 1.1091 - 1.1076. If this level is violated, then the odds for the price to return to the main channel are even higher.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.1388

WR2 - 1.1223

WR1 - 1.1151

Weekly Pivot - 1.0973

WS1 - 1.0899

WS2 - 1.0724

WS3 - 1.0648

Trading Recommendations:

Despite the recent strong rally on EUR/USD the best strategy for current market conditions is the same as it was for last week: trade with the larger timeframe trend, which is down. All upward moves will be treated as local corrections in the downtrend. The downtrend is valid as long as it is terminated or the level of 1.1445 clearly violated. There is an Ending Diagonal price pattern visible on the larger timeframes like weekly, which indicates a possible downtrend termination soon. The key short-term levels are technical support at the level of 1.0778 and the technical resistance at the level of 1.1267.


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