Technical analysis of USD/CHF for September 25, 2018

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Overview:

The market is still trading above the major support of 0.9651. It continued to move downwards from the level of 0.9689 to the bottom around 0.9651. Today, the first resistance level is seen at 0.9728 followed by 0.9776, while daily support 1 is seen at 0.9651. The USD/CHF pair broke support which turned to strong resistance at 0.9776. Right now, the pair is trading below this level. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the support (0.9698) which is expected to act as major support today. This would suggest a bearish market because the moving average (100) is still in a negative area and does not show any signs of a trend reversal at the moment. Amid the previous events, the USD/CHF pair is still moving between the levels of 0.9689 and 0.9600, so we expect a range of 89 pips in coming hours. Therefore, the major resistance can be found at 0.9728 providing a clear signal to sell with a target seen at 0.9651. If the trend breaks the minor support at 0.9651, the pair will move downwards continuing the bearish trend development to the level of 0.9600 in order to test the daily support 2. Overall, we still prefer the bearish scenario which suggests that the pair will stay below the spot of 0.9730.

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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for September 25, 2018

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On the weekly chart, the EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a high-probability Head and Shoulders reversal pattern where the right shoulder is currently in progress.

Recently, the price level of 1.1500 offered temporary bullish recovery towards 1.1750. The EUR/USD bulls failed to pursue towards higher bullish targets. Instead, a descending high was established around 1.1800.

However, the price level of 1.1520 stood as a prominent demand level where the current bullish pullback towards the price level of 1.1700 was initiated.

Last week, another bullish movement was demonstrated towards the upper limit of the price range (1.1750) which resulted in a daily shooting-star bearish candlestick reflecting early signs of bearish rejection.

On the daily chart, The EUR/USD pair remains trapped below the depicted technical levels (1.1750 - 1.1850). As for the bearish side of the market to be dominant, the pair should keep trading below 1.1750.

On the other hand, conservative traders should be expecting further bullish advancement towards 1.1850 if the EUR/USD pair resumes its movement above 1.1750.

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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for September 25, 2018

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On September 13, The GBP/USD pair was testing the depicted downtrend line which came to meet the pair around 1.3025-1.3090. The pair has been demonstrating a successful bullish breakout so far.

This price zone (1.3025-1.3090) also corresponds to 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Currently, this price zone turned to become a prominent demand zone to offer bullish support for the GBP/USD pair.

However, on H4 chart, the market failed to maintain its uptrend within the depicted bullish channel on H4 chart. The lower limit of the depicted channel (which came to meet the GBP/USD pair around 1.3190) failed to offer sufficient bullish demand.

As long as the recent bullish breakout above 1.3090 (Demand level-1) is maintained on a daily basis, further bullish advancement should be expected towards 1.3300 and 1.3390 (reversal pattern final target).

On the other hand, the price level of 1.3190 now constitutes a short-term supply level (the backside of the broken bullish channel) where some bearish rejection can be anticipated.

Moreover, any bearish decline below 1.3090 (Demand level-1) will probably invalidate the bullish scenario for the short-term. Hence, the pair would have lower targets around 1.3010 (Demand level-2).

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Technical analysis of Gold for September 25, 2018

Gold price continues to trade around $1,200. Price bounced off the $1,192 low towards $1,203 as a back test of the broken resistance and got rejected. Gold bulls need to break above $1,211 for a move higher. As long as price is below that level, they are in danger of seeing another sell off.

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Red line - resistance

Blue line - support (broken)

Green lines - bearish channel

Gold price has short-term resistance at $1,205. Channel resistance is at $1,207 and the trend line resistance touching previous highs is also at $1,210. So the area between $1,205-$1,210 is an important resistance area and as long as price is below it, I expect another strong sell off that will eventually break $1,180. Support is at recent lows of $1,192. Breaking it of course would be a sign of weakness.

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for September 25, 2018

EUR/USD remains in a bullish trend. Price pulled back yesterday towards 1.1730 for a back test of the break out area that is now support. Prices moved higher towards 1.18 as expected but ended the day back below 1.1760. EUR/USD bulls need to break yesterday highs.

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Red line - neck line support

Blue line - short-term support trend line

Light blue dots - medium strength support

Dark blue dots - maximum strength support

Green line - horizontal support

EUR/USD came back towards the broken resistance now support for another back test. Price remains above the critical support of 1.17-1.1720. Bulls need to break above 1.1815 for this up move to continue towards 1.19. A break below 1.17 will be a bearish sign.

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