GBP/USD: plan for the European session on July 19. Good news on Brexit and the North Irish border are pushing the pound up

To open long positions on GBP/USD, you need:

Yesterday, a good report on retail sales in the UK set a bullish tone for the market, and news of an alternative proposal from the EU on the problematic issue of the North Irish border continued the upward momentum. Now, the bulls are aimed at holding GBP/USD above the intermediate support of 1.2514, where the formation of a false breakout will be the first signal to continue opening long positions. However, the main task of the pound buyers will be to break and consolidate in the first half of the day above the resistance of 1.2561, which will retain the upward potential and lead to an update of the highs in the area of 1.2600 and 1.2639, where I recommend fixing the profit. In the scenario of a pair falling below the level of 1.2514, it is possible to open long positions immediately for a rebound in the support area of 1.2472.

To open short positions on GBP/USD, you need:

Today, sellers remain to protect the resistance of 1.2561, and the formation of a false breakdown there in the first half of the day will be a signal to open short positions. However, the main task of the bears will be to return and consolidate below the support of 1.2514, which will push the GBP/USD to the area of the lows of 1.2472 and 1.2431, where I recommend taking the profits. Today, no important reports on the UK are planned, so traders will closely follow the new statements of the EU representatives on the topic of Brexit.

Indicator signals:

Moving Averages

Trading is conducted above 30 and 50 moving averages, which indicates the preservation of the upward correction in the pair.

Bollinger Bands

The growth of the pound will be limited by the upper limit of the indicator around 1.2585, where you can watch sales in the morning. The break of the average border of the indicator in the area of 1.2514 will lead to a larger decrease in the pound to the lower border, which is located in the area of 1.2470.

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Description of indicators

  • MA (moving average) 50 days – yellow
  • MA (moving average) 30 days – green
  • MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9
  • Bollinger Bands 20
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