Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for November 14, 2017

GBP/USD has been quite volatile and corrective recently and residing below the resistance level of 1.3130 with a daily close. GBP has been quite worse with the economic reports recently whereas the Interest Rate hike also could not help the currency gain some momentum over USD. Today several GBP and USD high impact economic reports and events are going to be held which is expected to have a good impact in the market and provide information about the upcoming directional movement. Today GBP CPI report is going to be published which is expected to have a slight increase to 3.1% from the previous value of 3.0%, PPI Input is expected to increase to 0.8% from the previous value of 0.4%, Core CPI is expected to increase to 2.8% from the previous value of 2.7%, HPI report is expected to increase to 5.2% from the previous value of 5.0% and PPI Output report is also expected to increase to 0.3% from the previous value of 0.2%. On the USD side, today FED Chair Yellen is going to speak about the interest rate decisions and future monetary policies which are expected to be neutral in nature, NFIB Small Business Index report is expected to increase to 104.0 from the previous figure of 103.0, PPI report is expected to decrease to 0.1% from the previous value of 0.4% and Core PPI is also expected to decrease to 0.2% from the previous value of 0.4%. As of the current situation, almost every GBP economic reports are forecasted to have positive outcome today and USD reports has mixed expectations. If the GBP reports come out positive as expected the pair is expected to continue the correction and on the other hand if the reports come negative or worse than expected than we might see USD taking over the gains and pushing the price much lower. Market sentiment is currently quite in favor of USD as the Rate Hike in December is quite confirmed and USD is expected to gain good momentum soon.

Now let us look at the technical view, the price is currently residing below the resistance level of 1.3130 with a daily close which is also being held as resistance by the dynamic level of 20 EMA. The price is still residing inside the corrective structure, but bears seemed to be quite stronger than the bulls in the formation. As the price remains below the resistance level of 1.3130 the bearish bias is expected to continue further with the target towards 1.2800 support area.

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