Trend line analysis on USDJPY

USDJPY recently broke out and below a key support trend line and provided us with a bearish signal. Price retraced 50% of the rise from April lows. A bounce has followed and price back tested the broken trend line from below. The price got rejected at the back test. This is a bearish sign.


Red line -bearish divergence

Blue lines - Fibonacci retracement

Green line - support trend line

USDJPY got rejected once it tested the green line from below. This is a sign of weakness and unless bulls manage to recapture 110.70, I expect price to test recent low at 109.55. Breaking below this recent low, I would expect USDJPY to move towards 109 but most probably towards 108.35. We are bearish USDJPY as long as price is below 110.70. Breaking above 110.70 would be a sign of strength and could lead to a higher high towards 112.50.

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