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US Department of Energy expects Brent oil prices to exceed $173 by 2050


The Energy Information Administration of the US Department of Energy (EIA) has published an annual forecast for oil prices.

Under the most optimistic high-price scenario forecast, Brent oil prices will reach $173 by 2050. In the base case, the price will rise to $95 per barrel, and according to the low-price forecast scenario, it will drop to $48 per barrel.

Before the start of the pandemic, the EIA predicted that the price of oil by 2050 would be as high as $183 forex rate in 2019.

On February 2, Brent oil prices for the first time since February 21, 2020 climbed above $58 per barrel. As of 5:10 GMT + 2 on February 4, Brent oil futures for April delivery are trading at $58.73, and WTI futures for March delivery are trading at $ 56.02, according to the data of the London stock exchange ICE.

The price of Brent crude oil reached an all-time high in July 2008. Then, the barrel cost $147.5. Prices have held above $100 for more than three years, with prices falling below that mark for the first time in September 2014. After that, oil quotes continued to fall.

In early 2020, oil prices rose after the death of Iranian military leader Qasem Soleimani. On January 6, the price of Brent oil surpassed $70. However, in early March, the global oil market slumped amid the collapse of the OPEC + deal and the coronavirus pandemic. The price of Brent crude oil fell to $25 and even lower.

In April 2019, the OPEC + countries agreed to set out production cuts. The new agreement is designed for two years (until May 1, 2022) and provides for a gradual recovery of production. The reduction by 9.7 million barrels lasted for three months (May-July), from August to December 2020, the OPEC + countries agreed to cut production by 7.7 million barrels. From January 1, 2021, production should have decreased by only 5.8 million barrels.

However, due to the second wave of coronavirus, which began in the early autumn, the parties began to discuss a less dramatic recovery in production from 2021. They agreed that they would scale up oil output not by almost 2 million barrels, as planned, but by 0.5 million barrels. Thus, since the beginning of the year, the reduction amounted to 7.2 million barrels.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company -