To open long positions on EUR / USD pair, you need:
Euro buyers failed to return to the resistance level of 1.1388 after the release of weak fundamental statistics on producer prices in Germany, which have fallen sharply. The main task for the second half of the day remains to be the breakdown and consolidation above the resistance level of 1.1388, which will lead to a larger upward correction to the area of maximum 1.1423, where I recommend taking profits. In the event of a further decline with the trend in the euro, it is best to look at long positions with a test of support for 1.1348 or a rebound from this year's low around 1.1312.
To open short positions on EUR / USD pair, you need:
Sellers showed up after the formation of a false breakdown at the resistance level of 1.1388, to which I paid attention in my morning forecast. Currently, the next task is to break through the support of 1.1348, which will lead to a larger sale of EUR/USD pair with a yield of at least 1.1312, where I recommend taking profits. When the return scenario is above the resistance of 1.1388 against the background of low trading volume due to the holiday in the US, I recommend to consider short positions in euro to rebound from the upper border of the side channel last week in the area of 1.1423.
Indicator signals:
Moving averages
Trade is conducted below the 30- and 50-medium moving, which indicates the nature of the market.
Bollinger bands
The volatility of the Bollinger Bands indicator is low, which does not give signals to enter the market.
More in the video forecast for January 21
Description of indicators
MA (moving average) 50 days - yellow
MA (moving average) 30 days - green
MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9
Bollinger Bands 20
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