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Weekly forecast and an intraday analysis of EUR/USD for December 15-18, 2014

Review- The single European currency supported by the Industrial production data gave an uptick. Industrial production went up by 0.1%, according to the estimates from the Eurostat. In September 2014, industrial production growth was revised down to 0.5% after the projected 0.6%. In October 2014, this indicator increased by 0.7% on a yearly basis. The industrial production is 0.8% up as compared to the same month a year ago.


WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA IMPACT ON THE PAIR


Monday EUR- German Buda monthly report


USD - Industrial and Manufacturing, Production, NAHB Housing Market Index


Tuesday EUR - French, German, and Euro zone Flash manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Euro zone Balance of Trade, German ZEW Sentiment


USD - Building Permits, Housing Starts


Wednesday EUR - Euro zone Inflation and Core CPI


USD - Core Inflation, Federal Reserve Rate Decision


Thursday EUR - German Ifo business climate


USD - Jobless Claims Data


Friday EUR- German consumer climate and PPI data


Technical view:


At Friday's session, the pair was unable to breach 1.2495 (Thursday's high) levels. Today, the pair opened on a bearish note trading on a downtick with the strong US dollar. Today, the pair direction will be determined at the US session by the industrial production report and NAHB housing market index. We are expecting an uptick from the US data. The pair has a strong resistance zone between 1.2507 and 1.2530. The hourly resistance exists at 1.2494. In case of negative readings on the US data, it may ignite some bullish power above 1.2530 with the targets at 1.2600. The intraday support exists at 1.2370. The hourly support exists at 1.2420 and 1.2400. We recommend selling with the targets at 1.2420, 1.2400, and maybe even at 1.2370 levels.


We can expect panic selling below 1.2360 levels.


EURUSDH1.pngThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com