Analytics and trading signals for beginners. How to trade GBP/USD on June 18. Analysis of Thursday. Getting ready for Friday

Analysis of previous deals:

30M chart of the GBP/USD pair


The GBP/USD pair on the 30-minute timeframe also continued to be impressed by yesterday's summing up of the results of the Federal Reserve meeting. But, if the euro/dollar pair was moving strictly downward with minimal pullbacks almost all day, the pound/dollar pair jumped in different directions, which is especially clearly seen on the lower timeframe. Nevertheless, during the day it dropped 65 points and broke two levels. Thus, the downward trend for the pair continues, and it has intensified over the past day. However, this increase is clearly based on such an important event as the Fed meeting, which happens once every month and a half. Thus, one should hardly expect that the pair will now bargain in a similar vein every day.

5M chart of the GBP/USD pair


As mentioned above, a huge number of signals were formed o the 5-minute timeframe, most of which, unfortunately, are false. Nevertheless, let's look at how to proceed during the day. Let's make a reservation right away that it was inappropriate to consider long positions today, since the results of the FRS meeting were unambiguously in favor of the American currency. Nevertheless, even if we filter out all buy signals, their total number still remains large. The first signal was quite clear - a rebound from the level of 1.4006. This is where novice traders had to open short positions. Then the level of 1.3975 was worked out and overcome, but the price very quickly returned to the area above it, so sell orders had to be closed manually. The profit was about 10 points. Next, one should wait for a new sell signal, which was formed when the price once again consolidated below the level of 1.3975. This signal did not bring profit to traders, since the price went down by about 30 points, which was enough to set the Stop Loss level to zero, but after that the price went up almost to the level of opening a position, so the deal was closed at breakeven. This was followed by another sell signal when the price consolidated below the level of 1.3947. Here, novice traders were lucky again, as the price went down exactly 20 points, after which it turned up again and consolidated above the level of 1.3947. Thus, this trade was closed at breakeven as well. All subsequent signals near the level of 1.3747 should not have been considered any more, since at that moment two false signals had already been formed near this level. The last sell signal was formed after overcoming the level of 1.3923, but it should not have been worked out any more, as it was formed in the evening, when the trading day was coming to an end. Thus, in general, beginners could earn 10 pips on all trades today.

Trading tips for Friday:

At this time, the pound/dollar pair continues its downward movement on the 30-minute timeframe, however, a clear trend is still not visible. The downward movement was triggered by an important fundamental event, therefore, it can stop at any time. Therefore, we still recommend not tracking signals from the MACD indicator until a trend movement of normal strength and with a trend line or channel begins. The important levels on the 5 minute timeframe are 1.3865, 1.3885, 1.3923 and 1.3975. We recommend trading with them. The price can bounce off them or overcome them. As before, we set Take Profit at a distance of 40-50 points. At 5M TF, you can use all the nearest levels as targets, but then you need to take profit, taking into account the strength of the movement. When passing 20 points in the right direction, we recommend setting Stop Loss to breakeven. The UK retail sales report for May is scheduled for Friday and is the only report of the day. Thus, from the very morning the pair may fall under the influence of macroeconomics.

On the chart:

Support and Resistance Levels are the Levels that serve as targets when buying or selling the pair. You can place Take Profit near these levels.

Red lines are the channels or trend lines that display the current trend and show in which direction it is better to trade now.

Up/down arrows show where you should sell or buy after reaching or breaking through particular levels.

The MACD indicator consists of a histogram and a signal line. When they cross, this is a signal to enter the market. It is recommended to use this indicator in combination with trend lines (channels and trend lines).

Important announcements and economic reports that you can always find in the news calendar can seriously influence the trajectory of a currency pair. Therefore, at the time of their release, we recommended trading as carefully as possible or exit the market in order to avoid a sharp price reversal.

Beginners on Forex should remember that not every single trade has to be profitable. The development of a clear strategy and money management are the key to success in trading over a long period of time.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company -