The downward movement is a medium-term momentum, therefore, all trading plans must take this fact into account. Any growth will be corrective until the pair cannot gain a foothold above the control zone 1/2, which is formed from the local minimum.
Today's plan is to keep the sales open from last week. The closest target of the fall is the control zone of a at 1.3042-1.3031, which is formed from the previous weekly short-circuit. The top of the specified zone will allow fixing a part of sales, the rest should be transferred to the breakeven. For those who do not have a short position, the opportunity for opening will appear only if the pair grows to the control zone of 1/4 1.3136-1.3131, where it will be possible to obtain a risk-to-profit ratio in excess of 1 to 3. Sales from current marks are not profitable.
If the upward movement exceeds the control zone of 1/4, this will mean the formation of a local accumulation zone. This will not cancel out a bearish priority but will allow even more favorable prices to be sold in the future.
An alternative model can be considered in case that today's closing of the American session occurs above the level of 1.3136. This will allow the instrument to be sold at more favorable prices, located within the control zone a at 1.3199-1.3188. The probability of updating the July low will be 70% as long as the pair trades below 1.3199.
The daytime CP is the daytime control zone. The zone formed by important data from the futures market that change several times a year.
The weekly CP is the weekly control zone. The zone formed by marks from important futures market which change several times a year.
The monthly CP is the monthly control zone. The zone is a reflection of the average volatility over the past year.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com