Crude price downtrend has not yet shown any signals of a longer-term reversal and the current wave up should only be considered as a correction.
While moving down, WTI formed the support near the mark of 40 that later, on December 7, 2015, has been broken. The price has been moving within the descending channel, although it also has been broken to the downside providing additional confirmation of an ongoing downtrend. Currently, the price returned back the lower trend line of the broken descending channel that is acting as a resistance, which apparently was rejected.
Consider selling WTI on corrective waves up while the price is not too far from the 38.30 resistance area (R1). The 161.8% Fibonacci retracement (S2 - 31.70) applied to the latest corrective wave up could be used as the nearest target.
Support: 34.30, 31.70
Resistance: 38.30
