EURUSD made a new lower low today at 1.1250. Price is now at 1.1316. Trend remains bearish as price continues making lower lows and lower highs. Today the RSI has provided a bullish divergence as it did not make a lower low.
The bullish divergence is warning that the downtrend is weakening. This is not a reversal signal. Resistance is at yesterday's high at 1.1375. Breaking above this level would be an important sign of strength and the first sign of a reversal. At current levels I prefer to be neutral EURUSD and not bearish anymore. Price has the potential to bounce strongly if not make a major low and major reversal.
EURUSD has so far retraced 61.8% of the entire upward movement. At 61.8% retracement levels we usually see trend reversals. This is key Fibonacci support. This is another reason why I prefer to be cautious. We were bearish near 1.22 and we believe now it is time be cautious and that bears should take at least partial profits.
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