Forecast for AUD/USD on December 1, 2020


The Australian dollar fell by 44 points against the background of yesterday's strengthening of the US dollar. The price returned to the area below the technical level of 0.7380 and finally formed a double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. The price is facing the nearest target of 0.7252 - the MACD line on the daily chart. If the downward movement is strong, then the specified line will be broken, consolidation on the MACD line is possible for some time, so it would be more appropriate to speak about the target range of 0.7222/52, its lower border was formed by the lows of November 12 and September 4.


The four-hour chart shows that the price has settled below the MACD line, while Marlin has penetrated deep enough into the downward trend zone. We are waiting for the aussie to fall towards the specified target range.


The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its decision on monetary policy today at 3:30 (London time). We do not expect any changes, but a number of media outlets are leaning towards a negative interpretation of the central bank's economic outlook, which is associated with friction with China and uncertainty about Brexit. However, if Great Britain is ready to leave the EU without a deal, then RBA leaders already know about it.

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