Forecast for EUR/USD on November 6, 2019


The euro closed the day down by 51 points yesterday. Business media point out the reason for the optimistic sentiment among investors regarding the upcoming US and China trade deal and good October ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which rose from 52.6 to 54.7. But with a broad view of the market, it is clear that investors are far from experiencing the interest in risk that was on Friday after the release of US employment data. The Dow Jones stock index grew just 0.11%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.12%. The general mood for dollar purchases remains, and it is characteristic that the price has not reached the levels at which the massive closing of euro purchases began on October 22 and 24, which we spoke about at the time.


The decline in the euro stopped at the Fibonacci level of 123.6% at the lows of October 25-29. There may be a respite before the subsequent downward movement. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator penetrates into the negative trend zone. After a respite, we are waiting for prices to fall to the MACD line at around 1.1027. We admit corrective growth to the price channel line near 1.1104.


The situation is completely declining on the four-hour chart: the price is under the lines of balance and MACD, the Marlin oscillator is developing in the territory of the declining trend.

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